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今日重点关注美元兑人民币。
基本面上,美联储短期仍然处于强势区域,但由于前期人民币相对美元贬值幅度较大,加上国内经济稳步回升向好,人民币对一篮子货币是稳中有升的。在中美两国各自对利率无变动的背景下。若无额外消息刺激,趋势方向需要等待关键价格被突破才能吸引场外投资者的入场。
技术面上,日线图上,美元对人民币在触及33日均线后的反弹,疑似是头肩顶的右肩结构。

(美元兑人民币日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)
随机震荡指标的顶背离以及目前的弱势上扬都在作证目前人民币的贬值似乎动力不足。

(美元兑人民币4小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)
4小时图上,美元兑人民币近期反弹的高度已经来到9月14日反弹高度的1.618倍,等待行情跌破65周期均线后,可以进一步确认行情是否反弹已经结束。

(美元人民币1小时周期图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)
值得注意的是,1小时图上均线组仍然支撑着行情,随机震荡指标也处于50中间区域,多空力量日内来看暂时不分伯仲,需等待行情跌破均线组后才可以确认空头的来临。

(美元人民币1小时周期图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)
根据Ultima Markets MT4中的pivot指标,当日中枢价位7.31286,
7.31286之上看涨,第一目标7.32288,第二目标7.33139
7.31286之下看跌,第一目标7.30435,第二目标7.29450
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