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欧元区打击通膨路遥，9月升息机会增高  

um editor

UM Editor

2023年09月05日

欧元区8月通膨年增率与前一个月持平，且高于市场预期。通膨状况显得顽强下，预期欧洲央行(ECB)于9月再度升息机会相当浓厚。 

欧元区公布8月通膨年增率与前月持平为5.3%，超出经济学家的估值会降至5.1%；当月食品价格年增率从前月的10.8%降至9.8%，能源价格则年减3.3%，但减幅小于前月的6.1%。 

(通膨率，ECB European Central Bank)  

在剔除食品和能源后，核心通膨年增率则从前月的5.5%降至5.3%。当局密切关注的服务通膨仅从5.6%略降至5.5%，另一份数据报告显示，欧元区7月份失业率为6.4%为历史新低，显示劳动市场依然紧张。 

欧元区最大经济体德国8月通膨年增率为6.4%，从前月的6.5%下滑，但高于市场分析师预估值6.3%，虽能源价格回落，但薪资持续成长推升服务价格。 

一年来，欧洲央行大举升息，将存款机制利率升至3.75%，但货币紧缩政策或许已经来到极限，导致经济停滞，企业和家庭的信心恶化，央行官员也因此对升息举棋不定。由于通膨消退状况出现停滞，9月继续升息尚是合理。 

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