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圣诞节假期结束恢复交易后，美国10年期公债利率下滑至3.88%，仍然接近7月底以来的最低水平。 此降幅归因于美国公布通胀淡化数据，推升来年更早、更大幅度的降息预期。 上周五的最新数据显示，11月美国PCE物价指数下降0.1%，这是自2022年2月以来首见下滑，超出华尔街持平的预测。 目前，市场押注联准会于3月例会降息25个基点的可能性为75%。 依CME FedWatch 工具显示，明年总共降息预计将超过150个基点。 (美国十年期公债利率) (2024年三月美联储利率预测，CME FedWatch Tool) 免责声明 本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场信息，仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的精确度，及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失（包括但不限于任何盈利的损失）负责。
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