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Tag Archives: FOMC

意外放鹰无法阻止美元颓势,欧元仍存突破概率 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2023 年 11月 8日 欧元兑美元的深入分析。  基本面要点  技术分析  日线图表分析 (欧元兑美元日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)  1小时图表分析  (欧元兑美元1小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)  枢纽线指标  (欧元兑美元1小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT4)  免责声明   本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯,仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供,并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的精确度,及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失(包括但不限于任何盈利的损失)负责。  

通胀略高于预期,强化美联储限制性政策

FOMC 公布会议纪要  美联储于11日公布9月会议纪要,为了让通胀回落至2%目标,维持具有限制性的货币政策是关键,大多数与会者研判,未来的会议上可能适合再升息一次,而部分与会者则认定,没有必要进一步升息。会议纪要也点出,美国经济以稳定的步伐扩张,劳动市场逐渐达到平衡,不过通胀仍持续高于美联储目标,美联储官员预估,经济成长必须降至1.8%以下,才能让物价上涨的趋势缓和。  生产者物价月增 0.5%   美国劳工统计局同时公布通膨数据,由于汽油成本大涨5.4%,带动商品价格上涨0.9%,9月美国生产者物价环比上涨0.5%,为三个月来最低水平,8 月上涨0.7%,但高于市场预测的0.3%。  (PPI生产者物价 MoM,美国劳工统计局)  核心生产者物价月增0.3%  9月美国核心生产者物价月增0.3%,继上月上涨0.2%后,略高于市场预期的0.2%涨幅。就年增率计算,核心消费者物价上涨2.7%,8 月上涨2.5%,超过市场预期的2.3%,这可能促使美联储在较长时间内维持高利率。  (Core PPI核心生产者物价 MoM,美国劳工统计局)  国债收益率攀升可能降低升息预期  联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)已经11次上调基准利率,使其达到5.25%至5.5%的目标区间,为22年来新高。近期国债收益率不断高,上一次会议后更是加速攀升。如果情况持续,收益率的走升可能消除再度加息的必要性。  免责声明  本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯,仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供,并不构成投资建议。 Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的精确度,及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。 Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失(包括但不限于任何盈利的损失)负责。