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英国在景气迷雾中见到曙光

um editor

UM Editor

2024年03月14日

英国富时 100指数连三天上涨，周三收高0.3%至7,772点，攀10个月峰顶。 正面经济指标为低迷英国景气中带来希望。  

2024年1月，英国GDP如市场预期温和成长0.2%，打住上月0.1%的颓势，象征自2023年下半年技术性衰退后步入复苏。 动能主要源自服务业（本月成长0.2%，上月则下滑0.1%），特别是排除汽机车的零售贸易（成长3.4%）、保健以及市场（成长0.9%）和教育业（成长0.7%）。   

同时，建筑营造成长1.1%（前值降0.5%）。 不过，工业生产反降0.2%（前值升0.6%），主因为供水和污水处理、废物管理和修缮业务减少2.2%。 截至1月的三个月内，英国经济小幅萎缩0.1%。  

1月英国商品和服务出口亦报佳音，上升0.7%达到692.6亿英镑，从12月的一年半低点687.6亿英镑反弹。 出口到欧盟的商品成长了0.8%，主要是由于燃料销售增加，特别是出口到波兰的原油、出口到比利时的成品油和化学品。 然而，机械和运输设备出口下滑，受对西班牙的汽车出口和对德国的飞机出口减少影响。 

另一方面，非欧盟国家市场因燃料销售衰退出口跌1.7%，包括对韩国的原油，以及对美国医药产品和无机物化学品出口下滑。 综上所述，服务出口增长0.3%。 

（英国富时100指数月线图） 

（GDP MoM%，英国国家统计局） 

（英国出口，英国国家统计局） 

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