{"id":7272,"date":"2024-03-07T14:35:44","date_gmt":"2024-03-07T06:35:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/?p=7272"},"modified":"2024-03-07T15:54:01","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T07:54:01","slug":"ecb-rate-cut-prospects-intensify-as-economic-clouds-gather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/ecb-rate-cut-prospects-intensify-as-economic-clouds-gather\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e4c\u4e91\u5bc6\u5e03\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u964d\u606f\u524d\u666f\u52a0\u5267 \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u6b27\u5143\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u72ec\u7acb\u8fd0\u4f5c\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7531\u4e8c\u5341\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u6210\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5b83\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5fb7\u56fd\u6cd5\u5170\u514b\u798f\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u900f\u8fc7\u5176\u7ba1\u7406\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5728\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5236\u5b9a\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u9996\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u7ef4\u6301\u7269\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u76f8\u8f83\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57281\u6708\u4f8b\u4f1a\u4e0a\u9009\u62e9\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u51b5\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u6765\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u5468\u671f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u544a\u4e00\u6bb5\u843d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u518d\u4e09\u6697\u793a\u5347\u606f\u3002\u5ba2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff08PCE\uff09\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f32.6%\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u4f30\u503c\u5747\u9884\u6d4b\u5e74\u5185\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f32%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c3d\u7ba13\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5ba3\u5e03\u4eca\u5e74\u5185\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u9700\u8981\u8010\u5fc3\u7b49\u5f85\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9762\u4e34\u6bd4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u4e3b\u52a8\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u603b\u88c1\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u65e0\u7591\u53d7\u5230\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u8106\u5f31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u8feb\u548c\u5c40\u9650\u3002 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u7559\u610f\u5ba1\u89c6\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u30022024\u5e741\u6708\u6b27\u5143\u533a\uff08EA\uff09\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a2.8%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e12\u6708\u76842.9%\u3002\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u8be5\u6bd4\u7387\u4e3a8.6%\u3002 2024\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\uff08EU\uff09\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a3.1%\uff0c\u8f8312\u6708\u76843.4%\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u9ad8\u8fbe10.0%\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u4e49\u5927\u5229\u5728\u5bf9\u6297\u9ad8\u7269\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u5b9e\u8d28\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u5b57\u7a33\u5b9a\u538b\u57284%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5927\uff08+1.73%\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u9152\u7c7b\u548c\u70df\u8349\uff08+1.13%\uff09\u3001\u975e\u80fd\u6e90\u5de5\u4e1a\u54c1\uff08+0.53%\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u80fd\u6e90\uff08-0.62%\uff09\u5219\u5378\u9664\u90e8\u5206\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4f4e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u51b7\u5374\u6574\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u5168\u9762\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5728\u5411\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u53d1\u8868\u6f14\u8bf4\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u85aa\u8d44\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u85aa\u8d44\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5b63\u7269\u4ef7\u8d70\u52bf\u65e5\u76ca\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u575a\u79f0\uff0c2024\u5e74\u85aa\u8d44\u7ed3\u7b97\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u53ea\u4f1a\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u56e0\u6b646\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u8bc1\u636e\u8bc4\u4f30\u85aa\u8d44\u5feb\u901f\u6210\u957f\u662f\u5426\u6709\u653e\u7f13\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\uff08\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5e74\u7387%\uff09 <\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\uff08\u7ecf HICP \u6d4b\u91cf\u4e4b\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387%\uff09\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\uff08\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u5e74\u7387\u8d21\u732e\u6210\u5206%\uff0c\u9009\u5b9a\u603b\u91cf\uff09\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u4e00\u5411\u7f13\u6162\u3002\u6807\u666e\u5168\u7403\u516c\u5e03\u76842\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7efc\u5408 PMI \u521d\u503c\u5347\u81f348.9\uff0c\u8f831\u6708\u4efd\u768447.9\u4e0a\u53471\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u8def\u900f\u6240\u8c03\u67e5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768448.5\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u610f\u5916\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u6210\u957f\u4e0e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5206\u754c\u7ebf50\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u6446\u8131\u6536\u7f29\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u6709\u6240\u589e\u6e29\uff0c\u4ece1\u6708\u768448.4\u5347\u81f32\u6708\u768450.0\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u8d85\u8d8a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u768448.8\u3002\u76f8\u8f83\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4ece46.6\u964d\u81f346.1\uff0c\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u6307\u6570\u5347\u81f347.0\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u7834\u706d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u81ea2022\u5e747\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e00\u76f4\u4f4e\u56de\u4e8e50\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u603b\u7ed3\u53bb\u5e74\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5b63GDP\u4ec5\u4ec5\u6210\u957f0.1%\u3002\u867d\u7136\u901a\u80c0\u8ff7\u96fe\u6b63\u5728\u6162\u6162\u6d88\u6563\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4fee\u6539\u4e86\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u6210\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5176\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u6b27\u5143\u533aGDP\u589e\u5e45\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e74\u76840.5%\uff0c\u9884\u4f30\u6210\u957f0.8%\u3002\u76f8\u5e94\u5730\uff0c2025\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece1.6%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f31.5%\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u5df2\u5c062024\u5e74\u7684\u6210\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece\u6700\u521d\u76840.8%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3\u533a\u533a0.3%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u6b27\u6d32\u90fd\u62c5\u5fc3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\uff08\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u6210\u957f\u7387%\uff09  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6ca1\u6709\u592a\u591a\u8bc1\u636e\u53ef\u5faa\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u524d\u72b9\u8c6b\u4e0d\u51b3\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\u4e24\u5730\u5206\u6b67\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u5c06\u63a8\u8fdf\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6570\u636e\u5219\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65bd\u52a0\u63d0\u524d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u4e3b\u52a8\u3002 2000\u5e74\u7f51\u8def\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8ddf\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u540e\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u964d\u606f\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c2007\u5e74\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6bd4\u6b27\u6d32\u63d0\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u76f4\u5230\u6700\u8fd12022\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5148\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u91c7\u53d6\u5347\u606f\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\u56de\u6b27\u6d32\u901a\u80c0\u5feb\u901f\u538b\u5236\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u66f4\u65e9\u3001\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u964d\u606f\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002 \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u6587\u6240\u542b\u8bc4\u8bba\u3001\u65b0\u95fb\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u3001\u5206\u6790\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6599\u53ea\u80fd\u89c6\u4f5c\u4e00\u822c\u5e02\u573a\u8d44\u8baf\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u534f\u52a9\u8bfb\u8005\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u5f62\u52bf\u800c\u63d0\u4f9b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6784\u6210\u6295\u8d44\u5efa\u8bae\u3002Ultima Markets\u5df2\u91c7\u53d6\u5408\u7406\u63aa\u65bd\u786e\u4fdd\u8d44\u6599\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u80fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u8d44\u6599\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u5ea6\uff0c\u53ca\u53ef\u968f\u65f6\u66f4\u6539\u800c\u6bcb\u987b\u4f5c\u51fa\u901a\u77e5\u3002Ultima Markets\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e3a\u76f4\u63a5\u6216\u95f4\u63a5\u4f7f\u7528\u6216\u4f9d\u8d56\u6b64\u7b49\u8d44\u6599\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u81f4\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4e8f\u635f\u6216\u635f\u5931\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff09\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6b27\u5143\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u72ec\u7acb\u8fd0\u4f5c\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7531\u4e8c\u5341\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ec4\u6210\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5b83\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5fb7\u56fd\u6cd5\u5170\u514b\u798f\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u900f\u8fc7\u5176\u7ba1\u7406\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5728\u5355\u4e00\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5236\u5b9a\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u9996\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u7ef4\u6301\u7269\u4ef7\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u76f8\u8f83\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u3002   \u7f8e\u56fd\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57281\u6708\u4f8b\u4f1a\u4e0a\u9009\u62e9\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u51b5\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u6765\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u5468\u671f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u544a\u4e00\u6bb5\u843d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u518d\u4e09\u6697\u793a\u5347\u606f\u3002\u5ba2\u89c2\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff08PCE\uff09\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f32.6%\u3002\u5b98\u65b9\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u4f30\u503c\u5747\u9884\u6d4b\u5e74\u5185\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f32%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002   \u5c3d\u7ba13\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u63a5\u8fd1\u96f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5ba3\u5e03\u4eca\u5e74\u5185\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u9700\u8981\u8010\u5fc3\u7b49\u5f85\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9762\u4e34\u6bd4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u590f\u5b63\u4e3b\u52a8\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u603b\u88c1\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u7684\u4e3e\u63aa\u65e0\u7591\u53d7\u5230\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u8106\u5f31\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u8feb\u548c\u5c40\u9650\u3002 \u00a0 \u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u7559\u610f\u5ba1\u89c6\u5173\u952e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u30022024\u5e741\u6708\u6b27\u5143\u533a\uff08EA\uff09\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a2.8%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e12\u6708\u76842.9%\u3002\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u8be5\u6bd4\u7387\u4e3a8.6%\u3002 2024\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\uff08EU\uff09\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u4e3a3.1%\uff0c\u8f8312\u6708\u76843.4%\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\u9ad8\u8fbe10.0%\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u4e49\u5927\u5229\u5728\u5bf9\u6297\u9ad8\u7269\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u5b9e\u8d28\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u5b57\u7a33\u5b9a\u538b\u57284%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002   1\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u5927\uff08+1.73%\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u9152\u7c7b\u548c\u70df\u8349\uff08+1.13%\uff09\u3001\u975e\u80fd\u6e90\u5de5\u4e1a\u54c1\uff08+0.53%\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u80fd\u6e90\uff08-0.62%\uff09\u5219\u5378\u9664\u90e8\u5206\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4f4e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u51b7\u5374\u6574\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u5168\u9762\u6291\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5728\u5411\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u53d1\u8868\u6f14\u8bf4\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u85aa\u8d44\u538b\u529b\u6301\u7eed\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u85aa\u8d44\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5b63\u7269\u4ef7\u8d70\u52bf\u65e5\u76ca\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u575a\u79f0\uff0c2024\u5e74\u85aa\u8d44\u7ed3\u7b97\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u53ea\u4f1a\u57285\u6708\u4efd\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u56e0\u6b646\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u662f\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u8bc1\u636e\u8bc4\u4f30\u85aa\u8d44\u5feb\u901f\u6210\u957f\u662f\u5426\u6709\u653e\u7f13\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002  \uff08\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u5e74\u7387%\uff09  \uff08\u7ecf HICP \u6d4b\u91cf\u4e4b\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387%\uff09\u00a0 \uff08\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u5e74\u7387\u8d21\u732e\u6210\u5206%\uff0c\u9009\u5b9a\u603b\u91cf\uff09\u00a0 \u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u4e00\u5411\u7f13\u6162\u3002\u6807\u666e\u5168\u7403\u516c\u5e03\u76842\u6708\u4efd\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7efc\u5408 PMI \u521d\u503c\u5347\u81f348.9\uff0c\u8f831\u6708\u4efd\u768447.9\u4e0a\u53471\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u8def\u900f\u6240\u8c03\u67e5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u768448.5\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u610f\u5916\u98d9\u5347\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6708\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u6210\u957f\u4e0e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5206\u754c\u7ebf50\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u6446\u8131\u6536\u7f29\u3002   \u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u6709\u6240\u589e\u6e29\uff0c\u4ece1\u6708\u768448.4\u5347\u81f32\u6708\u768450.0\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u8d85\u8d8a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u4f30\u768448.8\u3002\u76f8\u8f83\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4ece46.6\u964d\u81f346.1\uff0c\u4f7f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u6307\u6570\u5347\u81f347.0\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u7834\u706d\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u81ea2022\u5e747\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e00\u76f4\u4f4e\u56de\u4e8e50\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002   \u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u603b\u7ed3\u53bb\u5e74\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5b63GDP\u4ec5\u4ec5\u6210\u957f0.1%\u3002\u867d\u7136\u901a\u80c0\u8ff7\u96fe\u6b63\u5728\u6162\u6162\u6d88\u6563\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5c55\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4fee\u6539\u4e86\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u6210\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5176\u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u6b27\u5143\u533aGDP\u589e\u5e45\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e74\u76840.5%\uff0c\u9884\u4f30\u6210\u957f0.8%\u3002\u76f8\u5e94\u5730\uff0c2025\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece1.6%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f31.5%\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u5df2\u5c062024\u5e74\u7684\u6210\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece\u6700\u521d\u76840.8%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3\u533a\u533a0.3%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u6b27\u6d32\u90fd\u62c5\u5fc3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u3002  \uff08\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u6210\u957f\u7387%\uff09   \u6ca1\u6709\u592a\u591a\u8bc1\u636e\u53ef\u5faa\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u524d\u72b9\u8c6b\u4e0d\u51b3\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\u4e24\u5730\u5206\u6b67\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\u5c06\u63a8\u8fdf\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6570\u636e\u5219\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u65bd\u52a0\u63d0\u524d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u4e3b\u52a8\u3002 2000\u5e74\u7f51\u8def\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8ddf\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u540e\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u964d\u606f\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c2007\u5e74\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6bd4\u6b27\u6d32\u63d0\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u964d\u606f\u3002\u76f4\u5230\u6700\u8fd12022\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5148\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u91c7\u53d6\u5347\u606f\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b21\u56de\u6b27\u6d32\u901a\u80c0\u5feb\u901f\u538b\u5236\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u66f4\u65e9\u3001\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u964d\u606f\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002 \u00a0 \u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e   \u672c\u6587\u6240\u542b\u8bc4\u8bba\u3001\u65b0\u95fb\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u3001\u5206\u6790\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6599\u53ea\u80fd\u89c6\u4f5c\u4e00\u822c\u5e02\u573a\u8d44\u8baf\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a\u534f\u52a9\u8bfb\u8005\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u5f62\u52bf\u800c\u63d0\u4f9b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u6784\u6210\u6295\u8d44\u5efa\u8bae\u3002Ultima Markets\u5df2\u91c7\u53d6\u5408\u7406\u63aa\u65bd\u786e\u4fdd\u8d44\u6599\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u80fd\u4fdd\u8bc1\u8d44\u6599\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u5ea6\uff0c\u53ca\u53ef\u968f\u65f6\u66f4\u6539\u800c\u6bcb\u987b\u4f5c\u51fa\u901a\u77e5\u3002Ultima Markets\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e3a\u76f4\u63a5\u6216\u95f4\u63a5\u4f7f\u7528\u6216\u4f9d\u8d56\u6b64\u7b49\u8d44\u6599\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u81f4\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4e8f\u635f\u6216\u635f\u5931\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff09\u8d1f\u8d23\u3002 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":7263,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[33,34],"tags":[162,41,51,37],"class_list":["post-7272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technical_analysis","category-in_depth_analysis-technical_analysis","tag-pce","tag-41","tag-51","tag-37"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7272\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.umtradings.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}