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英鎊匯率已升至1.23美元以上,達到10月中旬以來的最高點。 升幅是受到美國就業市場放緩數據的影響,這導致投資人相信聯準會已經完成升息。 此外,投資者也消化完畢英國央行與其他主要央行保持利率穩定的決定。 在最近的會議上,英國央行將銀行利率維持在 5.25%,這是15年來的最高水準,並強調在相當長一段時間內保持利率高位的承諾。

(GBP/USD 年線圖)
BOE行長安德魯·貝利表示,預計近期不會降息。 然而,交易員現在預測英國央行可能會在 2024 年底前降息多達三個四分之一百分點。該行還警告稱,英國的經濟前景仍然非常具有挑戰性。 最新預測顯示,第三季經濟陷入停滯,第四季預計僅成長 0.1%。 另外,英國央行的預測表明,英國政府預計在今年年底前實現通膨率減半的目標。 然而,預計到 2025 年年底,通膨率將保持在央行 2% 的目標之上。最新預測預計 2024 年最後一個季度通膨率為 3.1%,高於先前的預測,但 2025 年最後一個季度將降至 1.9%。

(英國利率水準,BOE)
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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