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於11 月21日週二,匈牙利央行將基準利率下調 75 個基點,儘管政府在通膨下降的情況下面臨進一步降息以刺激經濟成長的壓力,但仍保持謹慎態度與措施。
匈牙利通貨膨脹率為歐盟中最高的國家。 在第一季度,通貨膨脹率達到25%高峰。 自此後,上個月已回落至低於預估的9.9%。 隨著通膨已受控制,匈牙利國家銀行(NBH)大幅降低借貸成本。 具體而言,從五月以來,該央行已累積降息650個基點,使基準利率降至11.5%。 儘管大幅降息,匈牙利11.5%的基準利率仍然是歐盟最高值。
儘管十月份物價有所下降,但核心通膨仍然很高,達到兩位數。 此外,服務價格水準較去年大幅上漲13.2%,凸顯實質工資復甦有強大的潛在壓力。 然而不幸的是,預計匈牙利經濟今年將面臨停滯或潛在衰退,這樣的結果粉碎其政府經濟成長願景。
十二月利率會議可能進一步下調 75 個基點使基準利率降至 10.75%,這與調查中預估中位數一致,並且落在貨幣政策委員會成員Gyula Pleschinger在九月接受路透社採訪時預測的範圍內。

(匈牙利基準利率,匈牙利國家銀行NBH)
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