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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website今日重點關注美元兌加元。
基本面上,油價本週的持續上漲帶動市場對於加元的需求,推動了加元的升值,這一定程度上也提升了加拿大央行貨幣政策的實施難度。短期來看油價影響著加元的升值趨勢,但是隨著加拿大第二季度實際人均GDP同比萎縮,5月份失業率開始上升,再加上抵押貸款續期的持續拖累,加拿大的物價水平或將穩步下行。因此原油市場若沒有預期外的供需方面變動,或將難以改變加拿大央行在10月份的會議上維持利率不變的立場。
技術面上,美元兌加元週線圖上的下行趨勢線有效地阻止匯價進一步上行,上週遇阻後本周迎來下跌趨勢。不過隨機震盪指標明確空頭信號,需要等待今日最終收線。
(美元兌加元週線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
行情自8月中旬觸及200週均線後開啟上漲趨勢,基於整個上漲趨勢的五波結構完整,目前的下跌暫時判斷為前期上漲趨勢的調整結構,等待充分調整後,加元相對於美元或將進一步貶值。
(美元兌加元日線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
日線圖上,美元兌加元來到非常關鍵的支撐位置。隨機震盪指標發出雙重背離信號後,行情終於回落。目前則是跌至33日均線附近,該價格區域也是前期上影線突破後的支撐位置。清晰的頂部結構意味著當前的支撐位置是強阻力區域,日內多頭或將在該區域迎來“反撲”。
(美元兌加元1小時周期圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
1小時圖上,隨即震盪指標昨日也發出了底背離信號,行情短期大概率將盤整或反彈。若行情亞盤時段突破1.35173,可以日內關注反彈交易機會,第一目標關注紅色的65均線附近。
(美元兌加元1小時周期圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
根據Ultima Markets MT4中的pivot指標,當日中樞價位1.35173,
1.35173之上看漲,第一目標1.35422,第二目標1.35789
1.35173之下看跌,第一目標1.34816,第二目標1.34570
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
通過 Equinix NY4 服務器實現指令快速執行