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美聯儲維持利率不變，看好經濟前景並上修GDP估值 

um editor

UM Editor

2023年09月21日

美聯儲(FED)維持利率不變，聯邦基準利率保持在5.25至5.5%，主席鮑爾議後記者會上稱，”將繼續根據全部數據、對經濟活動和通膨前景的影響，於逐次議息會議作出決定，在適當的情況下進一步加息，並指目前已「相當接近」其需要的利率水平。” 

鮑爾表示，減息時機仍存在很大的不確定性，2024年的預測僅現時的估計，相信進入2024年減息的時機總會到來，但稱不會指明具體時間。他認為，勞動市場終將會疲軟，但必須謹慎行事，認為更無法恢復價格穩定為更嚴重的問題。 

從與聲明一同發佈的利率點陣圖來看，FED預料今年將再升息25個基點，利率將在5.50%-5.75%觸頂。由於利率上升推高債券殖利率，吸引投資人將更多現金轉投公債市場，科技股面臨的壓力將越來越大。 

(FOMC利率預測點陣圖，FOMC) 

FED認為美國經濟將好轉，上修2023年國內生產毛額 (GDP) 成長率預測，從 6 月預估的1.0% 提高到2.1%。明年由 1.1% 上修到 1.5%。2025年保持在 1.8%，2026年預測值首次公佈為 1.8%。 

(GDP 預測值，FOMC) 

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