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基本面上,本週三,有「小非農」之稱的ADP就業數據明顯低於預期;週四公佈的上周初請失業金人數錄得20.7萬人,仍處於歷史低位,依舊凸顯出 勞動力市場的強勁;此外,由於季節性招聘計劃強勁,美國企業宣布了一年來最少的季度裁員。 以上種種都暗示了年內依舊存有升息機率,但是一切仍然需要等待今夜美國非農就業數據的公佈。
技術面上,日線圖上,美元指數連續兩日下跌,隨機震盪指標再度在超買區域形成死叉,暗示了即將到來的空頭趨勢。

(美元指數日線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
儘管昨日的下跌行情讓短期空頭趨勢的機率增加,但是仍需要等待今日美元指數有效跌破昨日低點後方可確認。 即便跌破昨天低點,下方目標可能較為有限,第一目標看向藍色17日均線附近。

(美元指數1小時圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
1小時圖上,行情跌破106.23一帶的支撐位置,ATR組合指標暗示跌破的有效性。 等待價格回踩後是否有進一步的下行的機會。

(美元指數1小時週期圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)
根據Ultima Markets MT4中的pivot指標,當日中樞價位106.200,
106.200之上看漲,第一目標106.363,第二目標106.755
106.200之下看跌,第一目標105.805,第二目標105.640
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