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美國1月個人消費支出物價指數 (PCE) 月增0.3%,符合市場期待,與修正後前值 0.1% 相比略有上升。 服務價格上漲 0.6%,商品價格下降 0.2%。年比成長率降至2.4%,創2021年2月以來新低,低於前月的2.6%,與預期相符。
同時,核心個人消費支出排除食品和能源 (Core PCE),聯準會偏好的通膨指標月升0.4% 與預測相符,是自去年2月以來最大幅度的漲幅,超越調整後前值0.1%。 另外,食品價格上漲0.5%,能源價格下降1.4%。
值得注意的是1 月核心服務業(扣除住房)通膨月增 0.6%,年增3.45%。 聯準會近期變得密切關注此數據。 年和月環比均大幅高於近期,月增幅達 0.6%,創下2022 年3 月以來最高值。1月份超級核心個人消費支出指數的各成分均加速增長,主要是服務業價格居高不下。
綜合所述,核心通膨年率連續第12個月下滑,從2.9%降至2.8%,來到2021年3月新低,符合投資人預期。
這些數據是聯準會訂於3月19日至20日例會前的最新報告。 聯準會主席鮑威爾和其他官員基本上否定本次會議期間降息的可能性。 因此,大多數投資者轉而押注 6 月降息的可能性。

(PCE價格指數月率)

(核心PCE價格指數月率)

(核心PCE價格指數年率)
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
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