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Tag Archives: FED

意外放鷹無法阻止美元頹勢,歐元仍存突破概率 

今日Ultima Markets 為您帶來了 2023 年 11月 8日 歐元兌美元的深入分析。  基本面要點  技術分析  日線圖表分析  (歐元兌美元日線圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)  1小時圖表分析  (歐元兌美元1小時圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)  樞紐線指標  (歐元兌美元1小時圖,來源Ultima Markets MT4)  免責聲明   本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊,僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供,並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性,但不能保證資料的精確度,及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失(包括但不限於任何盈利的損失)負責。 

通膨略高於預期 強化FED限制性政策 

FOMC 公佈會議紀要  美國聯準會於11日公佈9月會議紀要,為了讓通膨回落至2%目標,維持具有限制性的貨幣政策是關鍵,大多數與會者研判,未來的會議上可能適合再升息一次,而部分與會者則認定,沒有必要進一步升息。會議紀要也點出,美國經濟以穩定的步伐擴張,勞動市場逐漸達到平衡,不過通膨仍持續高於聯準會目標,聯準會官員預估,經濟成長必須降至1.8%以下,才能讓物價上漲的趨勢緩和。  生產者物價月增 0.5%   美國勞工統計局同時公佈通膨數據,由於汽油成本大漲5.4%,帶動商品價格上漲 0.9%,9月美國生產者物價上漲 0.5% MoM,為三個月來最低水平,8 月上漲 0.7%,但高於市場預測的 0.3%。  (PPI生產者物價 MoM,美國勞工統計局)  核心生產者物價月增0.3%  9月美國核心生產者物價月增0.3%,繼上月上漲0.2%後,略高於市場預期的0.2%漲幅。就年增率計算,核心消費者物價上漲2.7%,8 月上漲2.5%,超過市場預期的2.3%,這可能促使聯準會在較長時間內維持高利率。  (Core PPI核心生產者物價 MoM,美國勞工統計局)  公債殖利率攀升可能降低升息預期  聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)已經11次上調基準利率,使其達到5.25%至5.5%的目標區間,為22年來新高。近期公債殖利率不斷高,上一次會議後更是加速攀升。如果情況持續,殖利率的走升可能消除再度升息的必要性。  本文所含評論、新聞、研究、分析、價格及其他資料只能視作一般市場資訊,僅為協助讀者瞭解市場形勢而提供,並不構成投資建議。Ultima Markets已採取合理措施確保資料的準確性,但不能保證資料的精確度,及可隨時更改而毋須作出通知。Ultima Markets不會為直接或間接使用或依賴此等資料而可能引致的任何虧損或損失(包括但不限於任何盈利的損失)負責。