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2 月 15 日週四,英國最新消費者物價指數(CPI)數據公佈後,英鎊兌美元匯率小幅下跌,滑落於 1.26 水平下方。 該數據緩解投資人對通膨壓力再度復燃的擔憂。
英國1月份年通膨率維持在4%,略低於市場預期的4.2%,而英國央行 (BoE) 最近預估通膨上升至 4.1%。 不過,調查也發現去年最後幾個月的薪資成長下滑速度緩於預期,代表英國就業市場緊稍,需要更長冷卻期。 因此英國央行可能會推遲降息步驟。
本週將發佈的英國經濟資料包括第四季度 GDP 數據,市場專家預測將下降 0.1%,從技術面而言,英國陷入衰退。 相對地,美國1月通膨率超乎預期,削弱了聯準會在3月或5月降息的前景,從而導致美元走強,使英鎊進一步承壓。 大多數專家預計,在全球物價壓力大幅下降之前,英國央行額外貨幣寬鬆或英鎊升值的空間十分有限。

(通貨膨脹率,英國國家統計局)

(GBPUSD 週線圖)
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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